Tornadoes Possible Sunday 3/26/17

UPDATE 1:
The latest model guidance continues to indicated the threat for tornadoes in parts of Oklahoma and Texas. Moisture return and capping does not appear to be as much of an issue as it did 24 hours ago. This includes the potential for a few strong tornadoes, especially across south central Oklahoma and adjacent parts of extreme northern Texas. Large, damaging hail and wind will also be a threat with these storms.

Storms should develop sometime between 3pm and 4pm and quickly become severe. These storms will probably initially be discrete but may grow upscale into a line of storms south of Oklahoma City with embedded supercells. If this happens, a "tail end charlie" tornado threat will exist along and south of the Red River Valley near the Texas/Oklahoma border.

If you live anywhere in the area, please remain weather aware today.

- Jeremy Den Hartog



Original Post:

Strong to severe storms, including tornadoes, looks possible tomorrow afternoon in parts of Oklahoma down into northern Texas and perhaps extreme southern Kansas. The greatest risk for tornadoes at this time is in the northern half of Oklahoma - somewhere probably around Enid, OK.

The biggest question at this point, however, is if moisture return will be sufficient. If dewpoints in the area are at least 60 (or above), tornadoes will certainly be possible. Since it is unknown if dewpoints will verify, this threat is currently conditional.

If you live anywhere in the area, please remain weather aware tomorrow. Like normal, keep an eye on official forecasts, watches and warnings at weather.gov.

- Jeremy Den Hartog